February 9, 2007-
These days, if you voice any skepticism about anthropogenic (man-made)
catastrophic global warming, you are quickly dismissed, if you're lucky.
A more likely reaction might be for you to be accused of being a right
wing nut, or even compared to a holocaust
denier. You might even find yourself the target of a Nuremberg-style
trial for crimes
against humanity. You may even be accused of bribing
scientists with $10,000.00 cash to undermine legitimate climate
research! And if you're meteorologist, you had better pledge your loyalty
to the Religion of man-made Global Warming
and accept the IPCC propaganda as fact, or you may risk being
decertified by the American Meteorological Society!
The world is round.
When a theory becomes a proven fact through scientific methodology,
then and only then will the debate be over. The debate is over when
scientists stop debating, not when one side declares the debate
over. If the debate really was over, no one would be debating any more.
For example, I don't hear anyone debating wheather the world is flat
or round. That is because the world has been proven to be round. However,
it has not been proven beyone any resonable doubt that humans are causing
any significant global warming. If 2,500 scientists at the IPCC,
and that's a very generous number as it relates to actual climate
scientists, claim that humans are causing global warming but 17,000
scientists say they're full of it, then where is the consensus?
Surely, this is some indication that the debate is not entirely over.
My Position on Climate Change
Let me just start by stating that I'm not a scientist. I'm just an
average middle aged American male. Like most Americans in the 1990's,
I tended to not worry about the "little things" while going
about my busy life in southern California. I never really gave the global
warming issue much consideration one way or the other until the hyperbole
really began to heat up. First we heard that it was now a scientific
"consensus." Shortly after the release of Al Gore's
movie, we began to hear the line, "the debate is over"
from more and more people. I remember thinking gee, the damn thing isn't
even out on DVD yet, and the debate is over? How odd it is that at the
height of the controversy, global warming activists declared the debate
media jumped on board and immediately the politicians followed.
I decided to do a little research of my own. The more I Googled the
subject of anthropogenic climate change, the more I became convinced
that the "debate" is definitely NOT over. So what's my position
Global Warming? In order to form my own opinion about global warming,
I started by asking myself some basic questions. The answers to these
questions and others would need to be considered in order to form the
basis of my position. Disclaimer time...
Disclaimer - The opinion expressed here is just
that; my opinion. My opinion is not meant to be construed
as fact, nor does it imply any absolute truth or myth. This is only
my opinion. - DEK -
Is the Earth's climate changing?
Yes, definitely. It's always changing.
It the Earth warming or cooling?
I believe the short answer is warming, but when you look at a trend,
it depends on where you start and stop the trend.
For example, the data in the circled area of the chart below was published
in a 1996 paper by Ben Santer and his colleagues, one week before the
United Nations was to begin laying the groundwork for the Kyoto Protocol.
Only the data from 1963 - 1988 was used, even though more complete data
Photo source - World Climate Report
This is clearly an example of selective use of data. This selective
data was then used to generate computer models predicting catastrophic
But in the context of this question, (Is the Earth warming or cooling?),
I assume that the trend we are talking about covers the last
150 years of the industrial revolution, in which case my opinion
is that the Earth is warming. About 6/10 of one degree Celsius.
Assuming the Earth is warming, how fast is it warming?
I really don't know the answer to this one. I'm not sure that
anyone knows the answer. A lot of scientists think they know
the answer but the numbers range anywhere from six one hundredths of
one degree Celsius on the low end, all the way up to 17 degrees Celsius
by the end of the 21st century, depending on who's science you
choose to believe.
Assuming the Earth is warming, is man causing it?
Probably, to some extent.
Assuming man is causing global warming to some extent, precisely
how much are humans to blame?
It is my opinion that science has not yet proven conclusively
that human activity is responsible for a significant portion of global
warming. If that makes me a denier, or a climate skeptic,
then add my name to the list of defendants and I'll see you in Nuremberg.
Water vapor makes up at least 96% of the Earth's greenhouse gasses.
Carbon dioxide makes up only 3% of all the greenhouse gasses, and only
a portion of that is caused by humans. Methane and the other greenhouse
gasses even less.
I believe that climate is more significantly influenced by naturally
occurring forces of nature such as solar activity, cosmic
rays, the Earth's orbit, rotation etc.
"Many researchers believe the steady rise in sunspots and faculae
since the late seventeenth century may be responsible for as much as
half of the 0.6 degrees of global warming over the last 110 years (IPCC,
You know, anyone can write
anything. That doesn't make it true. We constantly hear that George
W. Bush denies that global warming exists. Not true. We constantly hear
that the Bush Administration is to blame for the Unites States rejecting
the Kyoto Treaty. Not true. The United States Senate rejected the Kyoto
Protocol by a vote of 95-0. At that time, the Oval Office was occupied
by Bill Clinton. Do your own homework, and don't believe everything
you read. Verify your sources, weigh all the information, and make your
own decision. Just make sure you get your information from a variety
of sources, other than the agenda-driven main stream media.
My opinion is just that, my opinion. However Here is
a partial list of other more qualified people that share (of have shared)
an opinion similar to mine. Full Disclosure: My political
Wikipedia - Scientists opposing the mainstream scientific assessment
of global warming
Global warming is mostly due to natural processes
Khabibullo Ismailovich Abdusamatov, at Pulkovskaya Observatory of the
Russian Academy of Sciences and the supervisor of the Astrometria project
of the Russian section of the International Space Station
Sallie Baliunas, Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics
Robert M. Carter, researcher at the Marine Geophysical Laboratory at
James Cook University in Australia
George V. Chilingar, professor of civil and petroleum engineering at
the University of Southern California, and Leonid F. Khilyuk
William M. Gray, professor of atmospheric science and meteorologist,
Colorado State University
Zbigniew Jaworowski, chair of the Scientific Council at the Central
Laboratory for Radiological Protection in Warsaw
David Legates, associate professor of geography and director of the
Center for Climatic Research, University of Delaware
Marcel Leroux, former Professor of Climatology, University Jean Moulin
Tim Patterson, paleoclimatologist and Professor of Geology at Carleton
University in Canada
Frederick Seitz, retired, former solid-state physicist, former president
of the National Academy of Sciences
Nir Shaviv, astrophysicist at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem
Fred Singer, Professor emeritus of Environmental Sciences at the University
Willie Soon, Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics
Henrik Svensmark, Danish National Space Center
Jan Veizer, environmental geochemist, Professor Emeritus from University
The cause of global warming is unknown
Claude Allegre, French geophysicist, Institute of Geophysics (Paris)
Robert C. Balling, Jr., director of the Office of Climatology and an
associate professor of geography at Arizona State University
Chris de Freitas, Associate Professor, School of Geography, Geology
and Environmental Science, University of Auckland
David Deming, geology professor at the University of Oklahoma
Richard Lindzen, MIT meteorology professor and member of the National
Academy of Sciences
Roy Spencer, principal research scientist, University of Alabama in
Former Skeptics Of Main Consensus
I won't attempt to draw any conclusions as to why the names on the
above list are "former" skeptics, but I doubt that they "saw
the light" all of a sudden.
A huge list, too large to reprint here, of more Global Warming Skeptics,
including non-scientists can be found here.
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